MLB Win Totals 2025: Predicting Every Team’s Season Record

There’s one giant, and many also-rans.

The Los Angeles Dodgers doubled down on their World Series championship With an enormous off-season effort, they've built an intimidating, nine-pitcher deep starting rotation and strengthened their lineup, setting them up for another successful run. Their unofficial title as winter champions is mirrored in USA TODAY Sports' predicted win counts for the team. The 2025 Major League Baseball season .

Our team of six predicts the Dodgers will be the only club to reach 100 wins, with balanced competition prevailing elsewhere: We project three division champions to secure victories in the vicinity of 86 games each. Additionally, five AL squads are closely bunched within a range of four games competing for the three wildcard spots. Here's an overview of our aggregated forecasted records as we head into spring training:

From NFL plays to college sports scores, all the top sports news you need to know every day.

AL East

They lost one top star, but the New York Yankees (94-68) revamped enough to potentially pull away from the competition and secure their third division title in four years… The Baltimore Orioles (87-75) are expected to drop from 99 to 91 to 87 victories, but they should still secure a spot in the playoffs – and maybe even achieve their first postseason win since 2014. … The Toronto Blue Jays (83-79) face significant challenges ahead — keeping Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and securing a playoff berth following numerous unsuccessful free-agent signings. ... Indeed, the Boston Red Sox (83-79) are better and more closely resemble a serious organization. No, that won’t get them much more than the hope that the roulette wheel lands on red by September’s end … You never discount the Tampa Bay Rays ’ (78-84) ability to surprise, but a lineup with questionable punch may not be able to support a rotation welcoming back Shane McClanahan and Drew Rasmussen.

AL Central

An ailing department sprung back to life dramatically last year, and now the Detroit Tigers (86-76) are best positioned to repeat the 2024 success that saw three teams reach the postseason. … It should be a very close race with the Kansas City Royals (84-78), who fortified the bullpen with Carlos Estévez and the lineup with Jonathan India and return the rotation troika of Cole Ragans, Seth Lugo and Michael Wacha. … Subtracting as the Cleveland Guardians (82-80) simply won’t cut it in the Central division anymore because a strong relief pitching unit becomes ineffective when paired with reduced offensive output and starting rotations heavily dependent on Shane Bieber’s successful comeback from elbow surgery... Still, there’s hope with Pablo Lopez, Joe Ryan, and Bailey Ober leading the rotation upfront; however, financial constraints remain an issue for the team. Minnesota Twins (80-82) likely had too docile a winter to keep up with the pack. … Just think: A projected 27% increase in wins (to 52) would still result in the Chicago White Sox losing 110 games.

AL West

With Nathan Eovaldi signed back, the Texas Rangers (86-76) might prove catastrophic if Jacob deGrom returns to full health and Kumar Rocker continues to develop. ... Taking a chance on the wildcard appears to be the sensible move for a team like this. Houston Astros (85-77) The team continues to lose key players from a franchise whose American League Championship Series appearances came to an end after seven consecutive years. ... While there has been no update on whether keeping Jorge Polanco and bringing in Donovan Solano boosted enthusiasm, it's reasonable to assume the season-ticket calls didn’t surge as hoped. Seattle Mariners (85-77) likely didn't make sufficient improvements to bolster an offense that struggles to match pace with its exceptional pitching staff. ... Irony, thy name is Athletics (73-89): As they start their four-year journey at a minor-league stadium in West Sacramento, the major-league performance becomes somewhat tolerable. ... The peculiar trend of signing upper-middle-class free agents to a roster filled with rapidly promoted, limited-potential position players persists in Anaheim. Perhaps Yusei Kikuchi will indeed be the one to guide them. Los Angeles Angels (70-92) from the wildernes.

NL East

Of course, they crashed out in theNLDSagainst a division opponent who subsequently spent almost $1 billion on a single player, but the Philadelphia Phillies (91-71) remain the team to dethrone, particularly if Jesús Luzardo can maintain his fitness at the backend of the rotation. Juan Soto totally makes the New York Mets (89-73) better, but two other free agents will likely determine their fate: Pitchers Sean Manaea and Clay Holmes. … Is this it for the Atlanta Braves (89-73) With bounce-back seasons from several key hitters expected to keep them competitive, they remain in the playoff hunt. However, following a somewhat subdued off-season, their room for error has become narrower. … The Washington Nationals won 71 games the past two seasons and are now pegged for 73. Sounds about right for a franchise that should be augmenting an emerging but still incomplete core. … For all their checkered history, the Miami Marlins (63-99) have never suffered consecutive 100-loss seasons. So that’s the first order of business for new manager Clayton McCullough.

NL Central

Has the pack finally come back to the Chicago Cubs (86-76)? Attrition and indifference elsewhere are almost as soothing a balm as renting slugger Kyle Tucker for the year. … We never count out the Milwaukee Brewers (83-79), but a third consecutive division title likely hinges on Brandon Woodruff’s smooth return from shoulder surgery. … Keep an eye on the Cincinnati Reds (81-81), which might feature a revamped lineup with both Matt McLain and TJ Friedl returning from injury-plagued campaigns. ... An unusual shift in leadership from John Mozeliak to Chaim Bloom has understandably caused some turbulence within the organization. St. Louis Cardinals (75-87) they remain uncertain, with Nolan Arenado currently heading to Jupiter. ... Paul Skenes and his teammate Jared Jones contribute their part. Pittsburgh Pirates (74-88) provides room for growth, yet the team still faces issues with their roster and rotations in the second year of Skenes' six-year contract period.

NL West

There should be an intense competition during the training camp for the number nine starting position. Los Angeles Dodgers (102-60), where his strong defensive wall eases Roki Sasaki’s move up to the big league. ... There's really an all-out attitude here. Arizona Diamondbacks (87-75), considering this might be the sole season when Corbin Burnes, Zac Gallen, and Merrill Kelly are all part of the pitching staff. This combination could present challenges for the Dodgers. ... Will they? San Diego Padres (87-75) Can they hold it together for another round? Dylan Cease and Michael King could serve as pillars for a playoff-bound squad, yet their talents might make them standout additions somewhere else if the Padres choose to part ways. ... A fresh leadership group can't ignore this fact. San Francisco Giants '(81-81) a strong pull towards the .500 mark, despite Willy Adames lighting up the locker room and batting order. ... In our view, keep an eye on this.' Colorado Rockies (61-101) roster that ought to excel offensively, yet their pitching personnel will likely drag them down into the lower ranks once more.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: MLB win totals 2025: Projecting every team's record for the new season